Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Arizona
Big Sky
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-15.6#338
Expected Predictive Rating-16.1#330
Pace66.2#205
Improvement-2.9#278

Offense
Total Offense-8.2#324
Improvement-1.2#226

Defense
Total Defense-7.4#332
Improvement-1.8#261
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 198   Louisiana L 66-83 10%     0 - 1 -18.9 -10.9 -5.9
  Nov 12, 2011 137   @ San Francisco L 50-69 3%     0 - 2 -13.3 -21.2 +7.1
  Nov 13, 2011 164   North Dakota St. L 58-70 8%     0 - 3 -11.8 -11.3 -1.7
  Nov 26, 2011 149   @ Loyola Marymount L 61-81 4%     0 - 4 -15.3 -8.9 -6.0
  Nov 30, 2011 45   BYU L 52-87 2%     0 - 5 -26.2 -18.2 -5.6
  Dec 03, 2011 47   @ Arizona L 39-53 1%     0 - 6 -1.9 -10.3 +2.4
  Dec 07, 2011 287   Pepperdine L 40-49 32%     0 - 7 -19.8 -24.8 +2.5
  Dec 10, 2011 251   Cal St. Bakersfield W 80-67 25%     1 - 7 +4.3 +4.4 +0.5
  Dec 17, 2011 225   @ Arizona St. W 69-68 8%     2 - 7 +1.0 +3.8 -2.7
  Dec 20, 2011 270   @ Sam Houston St. L 49-73 12%     2 - 8 -26.8 -17.4 -10.8
  Dec 29, 2011 293   Sacramento St. W 73-64 34%     3 - 8 1 - 0 -2.4 -1.3 -0.5
  Dec 31, 2011 254   @ Northern Colorado L 64-80 11%     3 - 9 1 - 1 -18.2 -11.4 -7.4
  Jan 05, 2012 207   @ Portland St. L 62-82 7%     3 - 10 1 - 2 -19.0 -20.5 +3.2
  Jan 07, 2012 213   @ Eastern Washington L 59-76 7%     3 - 11 1 - 3 -16.3 -6.5 -11.8
  Jan 12, 2012 95   Montana L 53-78 6%     3 - 12 1 - 4 -23.2 -17.9 -4.8
  Jan 14, 2012 292   Montana St. L 72-74 34%     3 - 13 1 - 5 -13.4 -10.6 -2.7
  Jan 19, 2012 123   @ Weber St. L 67-81 3%     3 - 14 1 - 6 -7.5 -7.0 -0.4
  Jan 21, 2012 300   @ Idaho St. L 62-78 17%     3 - 15 1 - 7 -21.5 -13.1 -8.8
  Jan 28, 2012 293   @ Sacramento St. L 43-77 15%     3 - 16 1 - 8 -38.6 -29.5 -11.7
  Jan 30, 2012 254   Northern Colorado L 62-64 OT 26%     3 - 17 1 - 9 -11.0 -21.8 +10.8
  Feb 02, 2012 213   Eastern Washington L 68-74 18%     3 - 18 1 - 10 -12.1 -10.9 -1.0
  Feb 04, 2012 207   Portland St. L 65-76 18%     3 - 19 1 - 11 -16.8 -12.5 -4.9
  Feb 09, 2012 123   Weber St. L 49-67 8%     3 - 20 1 - 12 -18.3 -24.3 +4.8
  Feb 11, 2012 300   Idaho St. L 73-79 37%     3 - 21 1 - 13 -18.3 -1.7 -17.1
  Feb 18, 2012 322   UC Davis L 65-70 50%     3 - 22 -20.7 -7.9 -13.4
  Feb 23, 2012 95   @ Montana L 60-78 2%     3 - 23 1 - 14 -9.4 -9.1 +0.6
  Feb 27, 2012 292   @ Montana St. L 60-79 15%     3 - 24 1 - 15 -23.6 -10.1 -15.0
Projected Record 3.0 - 24.0 1.0 - 15.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15 100.0% 100.0
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%